It has been
a long time since I last posted. A lot has happened since then. The US has a
new President, UK is in the process of leaving the EU (the process of BREXIT
has been triggered), TPP (Trans Pacific Partnership) is almost as good as gone
and China is continuing to show its economic strength that may lead them to
become the World’s No. 1 economic power before the end of the decade.
Closer to
the Asia Pacific here, I am intrigued with the current President of the
Philippines. President Rodrigo Duterte also known as “Digong” (nickname) or
sometimes referred to by the alphanumeric “DU30” is an interesting personality.
He is controversial, sometimes brash but at the same time a realist. He has a
very strong alpha male personality that attracts a loyal base of supporters.
His trait of being a decisive person (though some may or may not agree with his
decisions) made him an attractive leader. A friend once remarked to me that
being decisive is one of the apparent characteristics of a leader. It doesn’t
matter if the decision is a wise one or not but the fact that a person can
decide conclusively shows that the person is unafraid of challenges. That is of
course debatable but I will leave that for another day.
Duterte’s
brashness when speaking to his people reminded me of the way the famous US
General, George S Patton Jr. spoke to his troops. They don’t mince their words.
They say what they meant. General Patton once said that he used profanities so
that his words would enter into his soldiers’ “thick skull” so that they would
not forget them. Similarly, Duterte has laced profanities both in his speeches
and at Press conferences. Though admittedly most of the time, the profanities
were uttered in front of local journalists, which could only mean that he was
playing to the local sentiments. Many people did not agree with the manner that
he spoke but that did not stop them from attending his speeches and Press
conferences. It is just like me
when I was young, saying that I do not like watching horror movies, yet my eyes
were glued to the screen whenever there was a horror movie playing. The thing
is that there is always something interesting in Duterte’s speech. Being
unpredictable and unconventional makes it attractive when it comes to gaining
wide audience and Press coverage. There have also been a few times when
President Duterte “flipped the bird”. That gesture does not require any
interpretation as we know exactly what that gesture meant! By “flipping the
bird” towards his adversaries is like “thumping his nose” saying that “you
can’t do anything with me” and indeed, he is right. Apart from the execution of drug dealers that became a
worldwide interest due to issues relating to human rights, the international
community does not really have much to complain about the Philippines
President. Some may even go on to
say that the execution of the drug dealers is more of a domestic issue rather
than an international issue -another debatable point. The Philippines economy
appears to be doing well - Duterte has managed to bring in considerable amount
of investments from China. Again, some of the critics of Duterte may say at
what cost? By allowing China to build military bases in the man-made islands in
the South China Sea? By being soft with China in relation to the disputed
Scarborough Shoal?
The critics
of Duterte felt that he has compromised the sovereignty of the Philippines by giving
in too much to the Chinese. However, if we look from Duterte’s point of view,
it was a “bread and butter” issue for his people. Before making his first official visit to China, the
Filipino fishermen were chased away by the Chinese Coast Guard in the
Scarborough Shoal. The fishermen were deprived from earning a living. The
presence of Chinese naval ships in the Scarborough Shoal has also discouraged
any confrontation that may occur. So what can one do in such situation? By
doing nothing would lead to a stale mate and that would not help the
Philippines. So what Duterte did was to play it cool by not pushing the issue
when he met President Xi Jinping in China. As a result of Duterte’s visit to
China, the Filipino fishermen were able to fish in the Scarborough Shoal
without any interference from the Chinese Coast Guard. So, that part of the
“bread and butter” issue has been resolved.
I mentioned
earlier that Duterte being a realist or a pragmatic person. This may sound
strange to some people but it’s true! Recently Duterte was asked about
Philippines’ position with regards to the Chinese building structures in the
disputed shoal. Duterte replied, “So what do you want me to do……declare war
against China? I can, but we’ll lose all our military and policemen tomorrow”.
Declaring war on China would be like David vs Goliath and it will not serve
anyone well. In spite of pressure
from the International community to protest or to voice out Philippines’
concern, Duterte knows that it would not be easy to change the status quo. It
is highly unlikely that China will dismantle the structures that it has just
built. I am sure Duterte must have weighed his options or perhaps he was just
being “street smart” and allow the status quo to continue while his Country
prosper. To me, that was not being silly, that was being realistic.
As some of
you may know, piracy is a major problem in the waters surrounding Malaysia,
Indonesia and the Philippines. The pirates who travel in high speed boats would
always speed and cross into the water of the neighbouring country which will
render the authorities to give up on their chase as they could not breach the
borders of the other country. On 14th January 2017, Duterte gave the
go ahead to the Indonesian and Malaysian navies to blast off kidnappers or
pirates that enter in Philippine waters. The President said, “You can go ahead
and blast them off……My order really to the Navy and Coast Guards if there’s
kidnapping and then (if they are) trying to escape blast them off….If you have
blasted them everyday that would stop kidnappings.” I believe both Malaysia and
Indonesia would have been surprised that Duterte had given them green light to
do something that very few leaders would allowed. That’s Duterte for you, a
realistic and pragmatic person.
I am not a
supporter or admirer of Duterte but like I said in the beginning, I am just
intrigued by this man. Who is this person? Some called him as the “Donald Trump
of the East”. Well, I wouldn’t compare Duterte to Donald Trump. One was a
businessman and lives a luxury life while the other has never ventured into
business and lives a rather modest life. I am looking forward to seeing what
else this man has in store of us. There is never a dull moment with Duterte!